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SITUATION UPDATE PRODUCT · CENTCOM · GRAPHIC · MACHINE-ASSEMBLED

CENTCOM THEATER PICTURE

REPORTED EVENTS, 170150Z AUG 26 – 160150Z SEP 26

SERIALSU-CEN-26-004
INFO CUT-OFF160150Z SEP 26
PUBLISHED160150Z SEP 26
EVENTS SHOWN30 (19 plotted)
SOURCE BASISOSINT only
PREPARED BYUnattended pipeline — no analyst
DISTRIBUTIONApproved for public release
This sheet is generated unattended from publicly available reporting. It contains reported facts only — no key judgements, no assessment, and no analysis of alternatives. Judgement publishes solely in a separately signed assessment product over a named analyst's signature. No such product accompanies this issue.

LEGEND

Hostile action
Friendly / US action
Neutral / third party
Unknown / contested
Mapped pipeline
Shipping route

METHODOLOGY

Numbered points are events, chronological within the issue window; closely co-located symbols are slightly displaced for legibility, true positions kept in the data. Positions derive from place names validated against a curated gazetteer; events below the geolocation confidence threshold are listed in the register without a plotted point. Named pipelines use public mapped alignments; maritime routes follow a public shipping network and are representative corridors, not live vessel tracks.

SU-CEN-26-004PAGE 1 OF 4
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Event Register — 1/2

SU-CEN-26-004 · 30 EVENTS · INFO CUT-OFF 160150Z SEP 26

Iran

1

IRAN · 010000Z APR 26 · GROUND · FRIENDLY

A US pilot who was shot down over Iran was rescued in an operation that officials say marked the first US boots on the ground in Iran in 46 years. The pilot gave his first interview recalling 'free-falling' before the rescue.

US IMPACT Rescue of downed US aircrew required direct US ground presence in Iran, marking a significant escalation of US military operations in the CENTCOM AOR.

Al Azraq

2

JORDAN · 301800Z AUG 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

At least 8 ballistic missiles launched at Jordanian bases hosting US A-10 and F-15 operations. No casualties reported.

US IMPACT Opened the ballistic missile campaign against Jordan basing.

Khasab

3

OMAN · 311200Z AUG 26 · MARITIME · UNKNOWN

Two commercial tankers struck by unattributed projectiles near Khasab. Two crew killed aboard Sidr — first commercial crew deaths of the period.

US IMPACT Drives USN escort tasking for traffic 5th Fleet must protect.

Kuhestak

4

IRAN · 010500Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · FRIENDLY

US strike during a ~100-target CENTCOM wave hit near a wedding venue. Casualty reporting revised from five to four killed, 50-68 wounded. CENTCOM investigating.

US IMPACT Civilian casualties are the main IO threat to basing consent.

Prince Hassan Air Base

5

JORDAN · 011500Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

13 missiles engaged, 10 intercepted. Zero casualties. Ranged US ISR assets and a USMC facility in a single strike.

US IMPACT Ranged US ISR assets and a USMC facility in a single strike.

Ahmed al-Jaber Air Base

6

KUWAIT · 011600Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

Kuwaiti bases hit by Iranian drones. No casualties reported.

US IMPACT Forces sustained air-defense alert at a primary USAF operating location.

Manama

7

BAHRAIN · 011700Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

Most intercepted; no damage reported by the host government.

US IMPACT Raid volume is a magazine-depth problem, not an intercept one.

Southern Lebanon

8

LEBANON · 020503Z SEP 26 · MOVEMENT · NEUTRAL

A BBC team embedded with a UN peacekeeping humanitarian mission reported that Israeli troops are fortifying positions and continuing demolitions in occupied areas of Lebanon, according to UNIFIL officials.

Lebanon

9

LEBANON · 020503Z SEP 26 · MOVEMENT · NEUTRAL

A BBC team traveling with a UN peacekeeping mission inside occupied Lebanon observed Israeli troops fortifying positions and continuing demolitions. UN peacekeeping officials confirmed Israeli forces are expanding their presence.

Sheikh Isa Air Base

10

BAHRAIN · 021000Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

Claimed strikes on radar installations and assembly points. No damage confirmed by Bahrain.

US IMPACT Expands the defended-asset list in Bahrain beyond NSA Bahrain.

Southern Iran

11

IRAN · 022102Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · UNKNOWN

BBC Verify reviewed footage showing the aftermath of a strike on a building in southern Iran where wedding celebrations were reportedly taking place. Attribution and casualty figures were not confirmed in available reporting.

Al Minhad Air Base

12

UAE · 030900Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

Iran claimed a strike on Al Minhad Air Base. The UAE neither confirmed nor denied it.

US IMPACT Adds a fourth host nation; Emirati silence complicates access.

Jazan

13

SAUDI ARABIA · 072000Z SEP 26 · INFRASTRUCTURE · HOSTILE

Satellite-confirmed damage to the refinery.

US IMPACT Opens a southern front, pulling air-defense coverage off the Gulf cluster.

Muwaffaq Salti Air Base

14

JORDAN · 080400Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

18 of 20 missiles intercepted. Leakers took the wing off one A-10 and damaged ~8 F-15s. Roughly 30 Patriot interceptors expended.

US IMPACT First confirmed damage to US aircraft; ~30 interceptors per raid.

Najran

15

SAUDI ARABIA · 081400Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

Coordinated strikes wounded 73. Partner air base and energy sites hit together.

US IMPACT Partner AB and energy sites hit together, straining one air-defense pool.

NSA Bahrain

16

BAHRAIN · 090800Z SEP 26 · INFRASTRUCTURE · HOSTILE

Acting Navy Secretary confirmed extensive damage to command centres, warehouses, piers and communications; ~$400M reconstruction estimate.

US IMPACT Degrades 5th Fleet C2 and port access; logistics shift ports.
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Event Register — 2/2

SU-CEN-26-004 · 30 EVENTS · INFO CUT-OFF 160150Z SEP 26

Mocha

17

YEMEN · 101100Z SEP 26 · GROUND · HOSTILE

Houthi forces took Mocha, Dhubab, al-Omari camp and Mayyun Island without contest.

US IMPACT Hostile control of both shores threatens the Red Sea SLOC.

Algeria

18

ALGERIA · 101547Z SEP 26 · POLITICAL · NEUTRAL

Algeria announced it was severing diplomatic ties with the United Arab Emirates; the Algerian foreign ministry did not give a reason but stated it had exhausted all means.

US IMPACT Diplomatic rupture between Algeria and the UAE, a key US partner, could affect regional coalition stability.

Mokha, Perim Island

19

YEMEN · 110000Z SEP 26 · GROUND · HOSTILE

Houthi forces captured the strategic Red Sea port of Mokha and the island of Perim, significantly expanding their control over a key international shipping route. The advance is described as the group's most impressive military achievement in several years.

US IMPACT Houthi control of Mokha and Perim Island increases their ability to threaten commercial and potentially US military shipping through the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb strait.

Mokha

20

YEMEN · 110920Z SEP 26 · MOVEMENT · HOSTILE

Houthi forces seized the strategic Red Sea port of Mokha and the island of Perim, a key position on a major international shipping route. The advance gives the Iran-backed group greater control over the Bab-el-Mandeb strait and Red Sea shipping lanes.

US IMPACT Houthi control of Mokha and Perim Island increases the threat to US and allied naval vessels and commercial shipping transiting the Bab-el-Mandeb and Red Sea.

Lebanon

21

LEBANON · 111550Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · NEUTRAL

Israel announced it destroyed a major underground Hezbollah base. The blast registered as the equivalent of a magnitude 4.1 earthquake according to the US Geological Survey.

East-West Pipeline, Iraq-Saudi border area

22

SAUDI ARABIA · 120000Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · UNKNOWN

A senior Iraqi source attributed a September attack on Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline to a resistance 'splinter' group, according to Al Jazeera. Satellite imagery analyzed by BBC Verify shows major damage to the pipeline, which experts say could cut oil supplies by up to 3.6 million barrels per day. Iraq has removed a military commander and opened investigations into the attack, which originated from an area bordering Iran.

US IMPACT Major reduction in Saudi oil output could affect regional energy markets and US partner nation stability.

Yanbu

23

SAUDI ARABIA · 120600Z SEP 26 · INFRASTRUCTURE · UNKNOWN

Saudi Arabia attributed the drones to Iraqi origin and shut the line as a precaution.

US IMPACT Kills the only non-Hormuz crude route; Iraqi launch axis is new.

Saudi Arabia

24

SAUDI ARABIA · 121215Z SEP 26 · INFRASTRUCTURE · UNKNOWN

Satellite imagery analyzed by BBC Verify revealed major damage to a key Saudi oil pipeline, which has been shut down following a drone attack launched from Iraq near the Iranian border. Experts estimate the closure could cut oil supplies by up to 3.6 million barrels per day. Iraq removed a military commander and opened investigations into the attack.

US IMPACT Disruption to Saudi oil infrastructure at this scale could affect regional energy security and logistics relevant to US operations in CENTCOM.

Strait of Hormuz

25

OMAN · 151613Z SEP 26 · MARITIME · UNKNOWN

Two sailors went missing after the oil tanker El Gaia was attacked in the Strait of Hormuz. The US says the tanker was struck by a missile and then a drone, while Iran claims the vessel caught fire after hitting mines.

US IMPACT Attack on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz threatens freedom of navigation in a critical waterway used by US and allied naval forces.

Iran

26

IRAN · 152016Z SEP 26 · OTHER · HOSTILE

Western intelligence agencies issued a warning about Iranian spyware dubbed 'CHOSEN BRICK' being used to target critics of the Iranian government living abroad. The advisory highlights a cyber threat campaign directed at dissidents outside Iran.

United States

27

UNITED STATES · 152034Z SEP 26 · POLITICAL · FRIENDLY

The Pentagon inspector general confirmed that the Iran war has led to US munitions shortfalls, with a bottleneck in resupply identified despite presidential claims of virtually limitless supplies. A separate congressional report found replenishing depleted stockpiles could take up to five years.

US IMPACT Confirmed munitions shortfalls and a multi-year resupply bottleneck directly degrade US combat readiness across the CENTCOM AOR.

Beijing

28

CHINA · 160000Z SEP 26 · POLITICAL · UNKNOWN

Iran's top diplomat departed for China as Beijing seeks to mediate an end to the ongoing war. The visit comes as the conflict continues to drag on with no reported ceasefire.

Yatta

29

WEST BANK · 160042Z SEP 26 · GROUND · NEUTRAL

Israeli soldiers rappelled from a helicopter onto the roof of a residential building in Yatta in the occupied West Bank. No further details on casualties or the operation's objective were reported.

Mecca

30

SAUDI ARABIA · 160109Z SEP 26 · AIR-DEFENSE · UNKNOWN

Saudi Arabia announced it intercepted a drone before it could reach Mecca, Islam's holiest city. Saudi officials described pilgrims' security as a 'red line.' The origin of the drone was not confirmed in reporting.

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Change & Sourcing

SU-CEN-26-004

CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS ISSUE

  • REVISED Mecca: Saudi-led coalition intercepts drone headed for Mecca (revised)
  • REVISED Yatta: Israeli forces conduct helicopter assault on building in Yatta, West Bank (revised)
  • REVISED Beijing: Iranian foreign minister travels to China amid ongoing Iran war (revised)
  • REVISED United States: Pentagon inspector general confirms US munitions shortfalls due to Iran war (revised)
  • REVISED Iran: Western intelligence warns of Iranian 'CHOSEN BRICK' spyware targeting dissidents abroad (revised)
  • REVISED Strait of Hormuz: Oil tanker El Gaia attacked in Strait of Hormuz; two sailors missing (revised)
  • NEW East-West Pipeline, Iraq-Saudi border area: Iraqi resistance splinter group blamed for attack on Saudi East-West oil pipeline
  • REVISED Lebanon: Israel destroys major underground Hezbollah base (revised)
  • NEW Mokha, Perim Island: Houthis seize port of Mokha and Perim Island, tightening grip on Red Sea shipping lane
  • NEW Algeria: Algeria severs diplomatic ties with UAE
  • REVISED Southern Iran: Strike reported on building during wedding celebrations in southern Iran (revised)
  • NEW Southern Lebanon: Israel expanding military positions and conducting demolitions in occupied Lebanon
  • NEW Iran: US pilot shot down over Iran rescued in first US ground operation in Iran in 46 years

SOURCE SUMMARY STATEMENT

All information derives from publicly available reporting across 3 outlet(s): BBC (18), GlobalSecurity.org (14), Al Jazeera (6). 25 of 30 events rest on a single source and should not be treated as confirmed. No imagery exploitation or independent collection was performed; positions derive from place names validated against a gazetteer, and region-level reports are listed without a plotted point.

Not an official product of any government agency. Carries no official coordination. Derived entirely from publicly available information. · SU-CEN-26-004 · Info cut-off 160150Z SEP 26

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