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SITUATION UPDATE PRODUCT · CENTCOM · GRAPHIC · MACHINE-ASSEMBLED

CENTCOM THEATER PICTURE

REPORTED EVENTS, 170327Z AUG 26 – 160327Z SEP 26

SERIALSU-CEN-26-005
INFO CUT-OFF160327Z SEP 26
PUBLISHED160327Z SEP 26
EVENTS SHOWN36 (22 plotted)
SOURCE BASISOSINT only
PREPARED BYUnattended pipeline — no analyst
DISTRIBUTIONApproved for public release
This sheet is generated unattended from publicly available reporting. It contains reported facts only — no key judgements, no assessment, and no analysis of alternatives. Judgement publishes solely in a separately signed assessment product over a named analyst's signature. No such product accompanies this issue.

LEGEND

Hostile action
Friendly / US action
Neutral / third party
Unknown / contested
Mapped pipeline
Shipping route

METHODOLOGY

Numbered points are events, chronological within the issue window; closely co-located symbols are slightly displaced for legibility, true positions kept in the data. Positions derive from place names validated against a curated gazetteer; events below the geolocation confidence threshold are listed in the register without a plotted point. Named pipelines use public mapped alignments; maritime routes follow a public shipping network and are representative corridors, not live vessel tracks.

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Event Register — 1/3

SU-CEN-26-005 · 36 EVENTS · INFO CUT-OFF 160327Z SEP 26

Iran

1

IRAN · 010000Z APR 26 · OTHER · FRIENDLY

A US pilot shot down over Iran gave their first interview recalling 'free-falling' during the incident. The April rescue operation to recover the downed aircrew was described by American officials as the first US boots on the ground in Iran in 46 years.

US IMPACT A US aircrew was shot down over Iran and subsequently rescued in a ground operation, representing direct hostile action against US forces.

Al Azraq

2

JORDAN · 301800Z AUG 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

At least 8 ballistic missiles launched at Jordanian bases hosting US A-10 and F-15 operations. No casualties reported.

US IMPACT Opened the ballistic missile campaign against Jordan basing.

Khasab

3

OMAN · 311200Z AUG 26 · MARITIME · UNKNOWN

Two commercial tankers struck by unattributed projectiles near Khasab. Two crew killed aboard Sidr — first commercial crew deaths of the period.

US IMPACT Drives USN escort tasking for traffic 5th Fleet must protect.

Kuhestak

4

IRAN · 010500Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · FRIENDLY

US strike during a ~100-target CENTCOM wave hit near a wedding venue. Casualty reporting revised from five to four killed, 50-68 wounded. CENTCOM investigating.

US IMPACT Civilian casualties are the main IO threat to basing consent.

Prince Hassan Air Base

5

JORDAN · 011500Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

13 missiles engaged, 10 intercepted. Zero casualties. Ranged US ISR assets and a USMC facility in a single strike.

US IMPACT Ranged US ISR assets and a USMC facility in a single strike.

Ahmed al-Jaber Air Base

6

KUWAIT · 011600Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

Kuwaiti bases hit by Iranian drones. No casualties reported.

US IMPACT Forces sustained air-defense alert at a primary USAF operating location.

Manama

7

BAHRAIN · 011700Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

Most intercepted; no damage reported by the host government.

US IMPACT Raid volume is a magazine-depth problem, not an intercept one.

Southern Lebanon

8

LEBANON · 020503Z SEP 26 · MOVEMENT · NEUTRAL

A BBC team embedded with a UN peacekeeping humanitarian mission reported that Israeli troops are fortifying positions and continuing demolitions in occupied areas of Lebanon, according to UNIFIL officials.

Lebanon

9

LEBANON · 020503Z SEP 26 · MOVEMENT · NEUTRAL

A BBC team traveling with a UN peacekeeping mission inside occupied Lebanon observed Israeli troops fortifying positions and continuing demolitions. UN peacekeeping officials confirmed Israeli forces are expanding their presence.

Sheikh Isa Air Base

10

BAHRAIN · 021000Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

Claimed strikes on radar installations and assembly points. No damage confirmed by Bahrain.

US IMPACT Expands the defended-asset list in Bahrain beyond NSA Bahrain.

Southern Iran

11

IRAN · 022102Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · UNKNOWN

BBC Verify reviewed footage showing the aftermath of a strike on a building in southern Iran where wedding celebrations were reportedly taking place. Attribution and casualty figures were not confirmed in available reporting.

Al Minhad Air Base

12

UAE · 030900Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

Iran claimed a strike on Al Minhad Air Base. The UAE neither confirmed nor denied it.

US IMPACT Adds a fourth host nation; Emirati silence complicates access.

Jazan

13

SAUDI ARABIA · 072000Z SEP 26 · INFRASTRUCTURE · HOSTILE

Satellite-confirmed damage to the refinery.

US IMPACT Opens a southern front, pulling air-defense coverage off the Gulf cluster.

Muwaffaq Salti Air Base

14

JORDAN · 080400Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

18 of 20 missiles intercepted. Leakers took the wing off one A-10 and damaged ~8 F-15s. Roughly 30 Patriot interceptors expended.

US IMPACT First confirmed damage to US aircraft; ~30 interceptors per raid.

Najran

15

SAUDI ARABIA · 081400Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · HOSTILE

Coordinated strikes wounded 73. Partner air base and energy sites hit together.

US IMPACT Partner AB and energy sites hit together, straining one air-defense pool.

NSA Bahrain

16

BAHRAIN · 090800Z SEP 26 · INFRASTRUCTURE · HOSTILE

Acting Navy Secretary confirmed extensive damage to command centres, warehouses, piers and communications; ~$400M reconstruction estimate.

US IMPACT Degrades 5th Fleet C2 and port access; logistics shift ports.
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OPEN SOURCES ONLY · NOT AN OFFICIAL GOVERNMENT PRODUCT

Event Register — 2/3

SU-CEN-26-005 · 36 EVENTS · INFO CUT-OFF 160327Z SEP 26

Mocha

17

YEMEN · 101100Z SEP 26 · GROUND · HOSTILE

Houthi forces took Mocha, Dhubab, al-Omari camp and Mayyun Island without contest.

US IMPACT Hostile control of both shores threatens the Red Sea SLOC.

Algeria

18

ALGERIA · 101547Z SEP 26 · POLITICAL · NEUTRAL

Algeria announced it was severing diplomatic ties with the United Arab Emirates; the Algerian foreign ministry did not give a reason but stated it had exhausted all means.

US IMPACT Diplomatic rupture between Algeria and the UAE, a key US partner, could affect regional coalition stability.

Mokha, Perim Island

19

YEMEN · 110000Z SEP 26 · GROUND · HOSTILE

Houthi forces captured the strategic Red Sea port of Mokha and the island of Perim, significantly expanding their control over a key international shipping route. The advance is described as the group's most impressive military achievement in several years.

US IMPACT Houthi control of Mokha and Perim Island increases their ability to threaten commercial and potentially US military shipping through the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb strait.

Mokha

20

YEMEN · 110920Z SEP 26 · MOVEMENT · HOSTILE

Houthi forces seized the strategic Red Sea port of Mokha and the island of Perim, a key position on a major international shipping route. The advance gives the Iran-backed group greater control over the Bab-el-Mandeb strait and Red Sea shipping lanes.

US IMPACT Houthi control of Mokha and Perim Island increases the threat to US and allied naval vessels and commercial shipping transiting the Bab-el-Mandeb and Red Sea.

Lebanon

21

LEBANON · 111550Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · NEUTRAL

Israel announced it destroyed a major underground Hezbollah base. The blast registered as the equivalent of a magnitude 4.1 earthquake according to the US Geological Survey.

East-West Pipeline, Iraq-Saudi border area

22

SAUDI ARABIA · 120000Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · UNKNOWN

A senior Iraqi source attributed a September attack on Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline to a resistance 'splinter' group, according to Al Jazeera. Satellite imagery analyzed by BBC Verify shows major damage to the pipeline, which experts say could cut oil supplies by up to 3.6 million barrels per day. Iraq has removed a military commander and opened investigations into the attack, which originated from an area bordering Iran.

US IMPACT Major reduction in Saudi oil output could affect regional energy markets and US partner nation stability.

Yanbu

23

SAUDI ARABIA · 120600Z SEP 26 · INFRASTRUCTURE · UNKNOWN

Saudi Arabia attributed the drones to Iraqi origin and shut the line as a precaution.

US IMPACT Kills the only non-Hormuz crude route; Iraqi launch axis is new.

Saudi Arabia

24

SAUDI ARABIA · 121215Z SEP 26 · INFRASTRUCTURE · UNKNOWN

Satellite imagery analyzed by BBC Verify revealed major damage to a key Saudi oil pipeline, which has been shut down following a drone attack launched from Iraq near the Iranian border. Experts estimate the closure could cut oil supplies by up to 3.6 million barrels per day. Iraq removed a military commander and opened investigations into the attack.

US IMPACT Disruption to Saudi oil infrastructure at this scale could affect regional energy security and logistics relevant to US operations in CENTCOM.

Iran

25

IRAN · 141200Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · FRIENDLY

Independent UN human rights investigators called for an immediate cessation of hostilities following a series of US airstrikes on Iran that have killed civilians. The investigators cited the strikes as part of ongoing tensions rippling through the region.

US IMPACT US airstrikes on Iran are the direct subject of international scrutiny and calls for cessation, indicating ongoing kinetic US operations in the CENTCOM AOR.

Gaza

26

PALESTINIAN TERRITORIES · 141200Z SEP 26 · STRIKE · NEUTRAL

Israeli strikes killed six UN workers and civilians at a school sheltering displaced families in Gaza, according to UNRWA.

Yanbu / East-West Pipeline

27

SAUDI ARABIA · 150000Z SEP 26 · INFRASTRUCTURE · UNKNOWN

Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline was attacked, shutting down oil exports from the Red Sea port of Yanbu. Satellite imagery revealed major damage to the pipeline, and Saudi Arabia cancelled some oil deliveries to Europe as a result. Oil prices rose by over $3 as loadings at Yanbu were suspended. A senior Iraqi source pointed to a resistance 'splinter' group as responsible for the September attack.

US IMPACT Disruption to Saudi oil exports and rising oil prices may affect US military logistics and regional economic stability.

Unspecified

28

— · 150843Z SEP 26 · OTHER · HOSTILE

A US Inspector General report found that Iranian strikes exposed gaps in US military medical evacuation operations across the Middle East. Medical professionals have long warned that drone attacks would cause higher US battlefield casualties, and the military is still working to address the challenge.

US IMPACT Identified gaps in medevac operations across CENTCOM increase risk to wounded US personnel in the theater.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait

29

YEMEN · 151200Z SEP 26 · POLITICAL · NEUTRAL

The UN Security Council convened an emergency session on rising violence in Yemen and threats to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait shipping route. UN agencies warned of rising displacement, including thousands of Yemenis fleeing to Djibouti, with nearly 100,000 people displaced since fighting intensified earlier this month.

US IMPACT Continued instability around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait poses risks to US and coalition maritime traffic through the waterway.

Strait of Hormuz

30

OMAN · 151613Z SEP 26 · MARITIME · UNKNOWN

Two sailors went missing after the oil tanker El Gaia was attacked in the Strait of Hormuz. The US says the tanker was struck by a missile and then a drone, while Iran claims the vessel caught fire after hitting mines.

US IMPACT Attack on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz threatens freedom of navigation in a critical waterway used by US and allied naval forces.

Iran

31

IRAN · 152016Z SEP 26 · OTHER · HOSTILE

Western intelligence agencies issued a warning about Iranian spyware dubbed 'CHOSEN BRICK' being used to target critics of the Iranian government living abroad. The advisory highlights a cyber threat campaign directed at dissidents outside Iran.

Unspecified

32

— · 152034Z SEP 26 · OTHER · FRIENDLY

A Pentagon Inspector General report confirmed that the ongoing war with Iran has led to US munitions shortfalls, with replenishing depleted stockpiles potentially taking up to five years. The report also identified a bottleneck in resupply despite President Trump's claims of 'virtually limitless' supplies.

US IMPACT Confirmed munitions shortfalls and multi-year resupply timelines directly degrade US combat readiness in CENTCOM and globally.
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Event Register — 3/3

SU-CEN-26-005 · 36 EVENTS · INFO CUT-OFF 160327Z SEP 26

United States

33

UNITED STATES · 152034Z SEP 26 · POLITICAL · FRIENDLY

The Pentagon inspector general confirmed that the Iran war has led to US munitions shortfalls, with a bottleneck in resupply identified despite presidential claims of virtually limitless supplies. A separate congressional report found replenishing depleted stockpiles could take up to five years.

US IMPACT Confirmed munitions shortfalls and a multi-year resupply bottleneck directly degrade US combat readiness across the CENTCOM AOR.

Beijing

34

CHINA · 160000Z SEP 26 · POLITICAL · UNKNOWN

Iran's top diplomat departed for China as Beijing seeks to mediate an end to the ongoing war. The visit comes as the conflict continues to drag on with no reported ceasefire.

Yatta

35

WEST BANK · 160042Z SEP 26 · GROUND · NEUTRAL

Israeli soldiers rappelled from a helicopter onto the roof of a residential building in Yatta in the occupied West Bank. No further details on casualties or the operation's objective were reported.

Mecca

36

SAUDI ARABIA · 160109Z SEP 26 · AIR-DEFENSE · UNKNOWN

Saudi Arabia announced it intercepted a drone before it could reach Mecca, Islam's holiest city. Saudi officials described pilgrims' security as a 'red line.' The origin of the drone was not confirmed in reporting.

SU-CEN-26-005PAGE 4 OF 5
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Change & Sourcing

SU-CEN-26-005

CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS ISSUE

  • REVISED Mecca: Saudi-led coalition intercepts drone headed for Mecca (revised)
  • REVISED Yatta: Israeli forces conduct helicopter assault on building in Yatta, West Bank (revised)
  • NEW Unspecified: Iran War Has Led to US Munitions Shortfalls, Pentagon Inspector Confirms
  • REVISED Iran: Western intelligence warns of Iranian 'CHOSEN BRICK' spyware targeting dissidents abroad (revised)
  • REVISED Strait of Hormuz: Oil tanker El Gaia attacked in Strait of Hormuz; two sailors missing (revised)
  • NEW Bab el-Mandeb Strait: UN Security Council Holds Emergency Session on Yemen and Bab el-Mandeb Strait
  • NEW Unspecified: Iran Strikes Exposed Gaps in US Medical Evacuation Operations Across Middle East
  • NEW Yanbu / East-West Pipeline: Saudi Arabia East-West Pipeline Attacked, Red Sea Oil Exports Halted
  • NEW Iran: UN Rights Investigators Call for Halt to US Airstrikes on Iran Following Civilian Casualties
  • NEW Gaza: Six UN Staff Killed in Israeli Strike on Gaza School
  • NEW Iran: US Pilot Downed Over Iran Speaks in First Interview Since Rescue

SOURCE SUMMARY STATEMENT

All information derives from publicly available reporting across 7 outlet(s): BBC (19), GlobalSecurity.org (14), Al Jazeera (10), UN News (4), gCaptain (2). 26 of 36 events rest on a single source and should not be treated as confirmed. No imagery exploitation or independent collection was performed; positions derive from place names validated against a gazetteer, and region-level reports are listed without a plotted point.

Not an official product of any government agency. Carries no official coordination. Derived entirely from publicly available information. · SU-CEN-26-005 · Info cut-off 160327Z SEP 26

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